The system in the Caribbean Sea formally classified as Invest 94L has become a little better organized today and the National Hurricane (NHC) has reclassified this system back to the designation of 94L. The NHC has given this area a 20% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours.
Invest 94 has remained elongated for the past couple of days and is now interacting with an upper level low. Showers and thunderstorms spread over a large area from east-central Cuba into the Bahamas. The system is moving towards the north and northeast between 5 and 10 mph. At this time environmental conditions are not favorable for development.
Since 94L has been reclassified computer models on track and intensity will resume in the near future. That will give us a better handle on what 94L will do over the next several days.
As always this a great time to review your hurricane preparedness plans.
MAJOR HURRICANE ADRIAN
Hurricane Adrian is a category 3 hurricane based on the Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale. Adrian has winds of 115 mph and getting stronger and should continued to hold major status until Saturday when gradual weakening is forecast as Adrian moves towards cooler waters. Hurricane Adrian is not a threat to land and is forecast to remain only a threat to shipping.
…MAJOR HURRICANE ADRIAN CONTINUES WELL AWAY FROM THE
PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO…
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
ABOUT 420 MI…675 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…115 MPH…185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…960 MB…28.35 INCHES
Hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30 with about 80% of tropical storms and hurricanes developing during August, September, and October. In a typical year, 11 named storms develop and 6 of these become hurricanes.
Tropical Cyclone Categories:
-Tropical Depression 20 knots/23 mph
-Tropical Storm 34 knots/39 mph
-Category 1 Hurricane 64 knots/74 mph
-Category 2 Hurricane 84 knots/96 mph
-Category 3 Hurricane 97 knots/111 mph
-Category 4 Hurricane 114 knots/131 mph
-Category 5 Hurricane 136 knots/156 mph