When rumors surfaced earlier week this that former Alaska governor Sarah Palin had bought a property in Scottsdale, Arizona, speculation ran high that the 8,000-square-foot home would serve as the campaign headquarters of her 2012 presidential run. Nevertheless when asked about her plans this week on the FOX News Channel, where she is a paid commentator, Palin was coy.
Now, another story has emerged, and this one points strongly to the likelihood that the woman who was instrumental in the Republican electoral victories last November does indeed plan to throw her hat in the ring.
Scott Conroy of RealClearPolitics writes that Palin has made a two-hour documentary
extolling [her] governorship and laying to rest lingering questions about her controversial decision to resign from office with a year-and-a-half left in her first term.
The film, titled “The Undefeated,” is to be released in June. It is the work of conservative filmmaker Stephen Bannon, who describes it as “a call to action for a campaign like 1976: Reagan vs. the establishment.” Bannon further characterizes the oeuvre as
a galvanizing prelude to Palin’s prospective presidential campaign—an unconventional reintroduction to the nation that she and her political team have spent months eagerly anticipating, even as Beltway Republicans have largely concluded that she won’t run.
Conroy identifies two central messages in the film. One is that Palin is a true maverick who bucked the trend in Alaska. The other is that she is the only conservative
who can both build on the legacy of the Reagan Revolution and bring the ideals of the tea party movement to the Oval Office.
If this in fact a first step to a formal announcement by Palin, one might wonder how word of the venture managed to leaked out prematurely. Conroy writes that requests by the Palin camp for news footage from Alaska TV stations raised suspicions, which in turn prompted newshounds to dig.
The bigger question, however, is a two-parter. It is whether Palin can win the GOP nomination and, if chosen, could she defeat Barack Obama? In answer to the second, consider today’s Real Clear Politics aggregate of polls, which shows the president with a commanding 19.5% advantage over Palin in a putative head-to-head contest.
Perhaps even more telling is the outcome of a poll conducted by Public Policy Polling, in Arizona voters were asked if they wanted Palin to move to their state. Of those queried, 57% said no, 27% said yes, and 16% were not sure.
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