Forecast Discussion: A Coastal Flood Statement was issued Tuesday evening, for the entire Massachusetts coastline, including Cape Cod. Due to high astronomical tides, rough seas, and up to 1 foot in storm surge may create in splash over during high tide this evening. High tide is expected at 11:30 PM Tuesday evening.
After 3 days of damp and raw weather, today will actually be the worst day of this weather pattern. A weak stationary front remains south of Boston, and just passes over southern Rhode Island. A weak surface low pressure system will continue to meander over the Mid-Atlantic, which will help bring rain bands into New England. The short range computer models have been saying all week this will be the wettest day of the period. Isolated thunderstorms and periods of rain, heavy at times, could create as much as an inch and a half of rainfall for today. As we progress into tomorrow, an upper level low that has been stuck over the state of New York will slowly move off to the east. The surface low will slowly move into the Atlantic over the weekend. High temperatures will also warm up in the weekend, as they reach the upper 60’s to lower 70’s. But, sunshine will remain limited, due to high levels of moisture still remaining in the atmosphere. Currently, the long range models continue to show a cold front passing over New England early next week. More showers are possible on Monday and Tuesday, but my confidence in the long rang models from Monday on is low.
Early morning: Cloudy, with scattered showers, and patchy fog, especially in the bays and the Harbor. We will see a low of 48.
Today: More widespread showers and rain, with possible thunderstorms. Patchy fog will continue in the bays and the Harbor. We will see a high of 56, with east winds at 9-13 mph.
Fenway Park forecast (7:10 PM first pitch): Cloudy, light rain, 53.
Tonight: Steady showers and rain, with a possible thunderstorm. Patchy fog will be along the coast and the bays. Lows will only fall to 51, with east winds at 8-11 mph.
Thursday: Scattered showers, with a possible thunderstorm, and a high of 57. Patchy fog will continue until the afternoon.
Thursday night: Scattered showers and patchy fog, with a low of 49.
Friday: Isolated showers/thunderstorms. I’m forecasting a high of 62.
Friday night: Mostly cloudy, patchy fog, with a low of 54.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. Highs 68-71, lows 50-53.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Highs 66-69, lows 54-57.
Monday: Mostly cloudy, showers starting in the morning. Highs 70-73, lows 55-58.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, scattered showers. Highs 73-76, lows 54-57.