High pressure will settle across the region today and slide off the Atlantic seaboard into mid-week. This will allow the heat and humidity to build with a vengeance with temperatures well into the 90’s, along with isolated thunderstorms developing each afternoon. A cold front will approach on Thursday afternoon with a better chance of showers and thunderstorms, some of which could be on the strong to severe side. It could remain rather unsettled into the weekend as the front stalls just to our south in the mid-Atlantic.
Here is the complete forecast for Albany and the Capital Region of upstate New York:
TODAY – A mix of sun and clouds will accompany a frontal passage this morning which will usher in a warm and moist air mass. A few isolated showers and thunderstorms may pop up into this afternoon, but most areas will remain dry. High temperatures will climb considerably into the upper 80’s with a light west wind developing.
WEDNESDAY – The warm advection regime will continue with a noticable increase in the humidity levels as an upper level high pressure remains anchored over the region. Skies will be mostly sunny with a slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm and high temperatures in the low to mid 90’s. Although there won’t be much forcing/lift present to create convection, there will be a massive amount of instability and energy in the atmosphere and only the slightest lifting source will allow storms to explosively develop…so stay tuned.
THURSDAY – The ridge will then begin to flatten and high pressure will slide offshore allowing a cold front to approach from the west. Skies will start out the day sunny and hazy, but a round of scattered showers and thunderstorms will accompany the frontal passage sometime in the second half of the day. The timing of the front will be crucial for severe weather development, as the threat will be maximixed if the front moves through during peak daytime heating. High temperatures will be hot once again in the low to mid 90’s with dew points in the lower 70’s making it feel extremely uncomfortable with high heat index values into the low 100’s.
OUTLOOK – The front will then become parallel to the westerly flow and stall over the mid-Atlantic region on Friday. This is a new development in the forecast as we look to remain unsettled into the weekend as the front tries to move back north as a warm front. This will keep a good chance of showers in the forecast on both Saturday and Sunday with high temperatures in the mid 70’s, but it won’t be a complete washout as there will be periods of sun and clouds at times. The models really start to diverge into late Sunday and Monday, but it appears that some clearing may start to develop just in time to head back to work with comfortable temperatures.
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